Tucanes FC vs Arroceros de Calabozo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
10.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
YAR
0 - 1
TUC
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
APC
2 - 0
TUC
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TUC
1 - 0
UCV
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 0
LAR
18%
25%
57%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 0
TUC
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arroceros de Calabozo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 3
APC
17%
22%
62%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 1
YAR
16%
24%
60%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
ARR
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -3 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GVA
5 - 3
ARR
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 3
UCV
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |