Tucanes FC vs Arroceros de Calabozo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LLA
0 - 2
TUC
34%
28%
39%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
TUC
1 - 0
ATL
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
ARR
2 - 0
TUC
23%
23%
54%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
MIR
1 - 1
TUC
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
TUC
1 - 1
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arroceros de Calabozo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
UCV
1 - 0
ARR
20%
24%
56%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 1
ESC
20%
27%
53%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
ARR
2 - 0
TUC
23%
23%
54%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 0
ARR
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ARR
6 - 3
MAR
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +3 |