Tucanes FC U20 vs Aragua U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
63.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
UCA
0 - 0
TUC
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
TUC
3 - 0
SFE
43%
23%
35%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CMV
4 - 1
TUC
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
TUC
0 - 1
HEG
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CHI
4 - 2
TUC
55%
20%
25%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Aragua U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
SFE
0 - 3
ARA
18%
20%
62%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ARA
0 - 0
UCA
76%
15%
10%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 0
CAR
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 1
ARA
23%
22%
56%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -3 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
0 - 3
CMV
85%
10%
5%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | -1 |