Tubize vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tubize
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
TUB
0 - 1
KFC
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
VWH
3 - 2
TUB
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
UNI
2 - 0
TUB
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
EUP
1 - 2
TUB
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
NAM
0 - 0
TUB
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
TIE
3 - 0
EXC
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
EXC
4 - 1
KVS
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
EUP
1 - 4
EXC
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
EXC
3 - 0
OLY
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 0
TOU
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |