TSV Steinbach Haiger II vs Fernwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
58.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
12º
18º
19º
70
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 58 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
7º
|
57 | 57 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 53 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 46 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
45 | 46 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 42 |
14º
|
64% | |
|
15º
|
41 | 41 |
15º
|
64% | |
|
16º
|
38 | 38 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 34 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
|
19º
|
18 | 18 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Steinbach Haiger II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 2
MAR
46%
20%
33%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RWW
5 - 0
TSV
81%
12%
8%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
2 - 1
TSV
70%
16%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
TSV
49%
22%
30%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
3 - 0
WOL
59%
19%
23%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FER
2 - 2
STE
75%
15%
11%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SVA
0 - 3
FER
37%
22%
41%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FER
1 - 2
HSC
56%
19%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
3 - 2
FER
30%
22%
49%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
HOR
0 - 2
FER
17%
18%
65%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |