TSV Sasel vs Wandsbeker Concordia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.2%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
3º
9º
6º
39
13º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Sasel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 2
SAS
13%
17%
70%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SAS
2 - 1
PAL
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DNB
1 - 2
SAS
9%
14%
78%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAS
3 - 3
SUD
78%
14%
9%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 2
SAS
14%
20%
66%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Wandsbeker Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WAN
5 - 3
UTO
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
WAN
2 - 1
RUG
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 1
WAN
46%
21%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
WAN
3 - 4
PAL
35%
24%
41%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DNB
1 - 2
WAN
22%
19%
59%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |