TSV Sasel vs Hamburger SV III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.8%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
10%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
6.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
-70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
3º
1º
31
10º
16º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Sasel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAS
1 - 1
NIE
65%
17%
18%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PAL
0 - 3
SAS
35%
22%
43%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SAS
8 - 0
UTO
85%
10%
6%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SAS
6 - 0
WIL
81%
11%
8%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SAS
3 - 2
OSD
84%
10%
6%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 0
HAM
78%
13%
9%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
OSD
3 - 2
HAM
36%
21%
43%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 3
ALT
34%
22%
44%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CUR
0 - 2
HAM
22%
19%
59%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
HAM
3 - 0
THA
37%
22%
41%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |