TSV Sasel vs Türkiye Wilhelmsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.5%
Win probability
3.98
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.9%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.4%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.9%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
6.2%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.2%
3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
3º
9º
6º
32
11º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Sasel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SAS
7 - 1
ATB
87%
8%
5%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
RUG
1 - 2
SAS
11%
16%
74%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
UTO
1 - 0
SAS
9%
14%
77%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAS
3 - 4
WAN
86%
10%
4%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 2
SAS
13%
17%
70%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
UTO
0 - 2
WIL
72%
15%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 3
WAN
21%
19%
60%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 1
WIL
74%
14%
12%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DNB
4 - 0
WIL
38%
22%
40%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 4
SUD
17%
17%
66%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |