TSV Sasel vs Alsterbruder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
3.67
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
6.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
7º
14º
12º
25
8º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 61 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Sasel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
THA
1 - 1
SAS
14%
20%
66%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SAS
2 - 1
NIE
50%
22%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
HEB
2 - 2
SAS
25%
22%
53%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SAS
1 - 3
ALT
33%
24%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
WIL
3 - 6
SAS
34%
23%
43%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Alsterbruder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ATB
1 - 4
EIM
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 2
ATB
74%
14%
12%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ATB
2 - 4
VOW
27%
20%
53%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ATB
1 - 5
VHG
21%
18%
62%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
THA
3 - 1
ATB
40%
22%
38%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |