Reichenbach vs Spielberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
71.8%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1501%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reichenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BRU
1 - 1
TSV
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
VFB
1 - 5
TSV
69%
17%
14%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 1
FCB
16%
18%
66%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FCM
2 - 0
TSV
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
TSV
2 - 3
FCZ
12%
16%
72%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SPI
3 - 2
FCB
68%
17%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FCM
1 - 3
SPI
57%
19%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SPI
0 - 3
FCZ
49%
21%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FVM
2 - 6
SPI
17%
18%
65%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SPI
1 - 2
EPP
15%
20%
65%
|
22 | 62 | 40 | -1 |