Nordmark Satrup vs VfR Neumunster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
39.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
11º
5º
35
7º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordmark Satrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ECK
2 - 2
NOR
67%
17%
16%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 2
PRR
46%
21%
33%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
EIC
4 - 0
NOR
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 2
DOR
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
EUT
1 - 0
NOR
43%
21%
36%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
VfR Neumunster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 4
KIL
20%
20%
60%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
TRT
0 - 3
VFR
52%
20%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VFR
4 - 2
UNI
14%
17%
70%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +4 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 1
LUB
51%
21%
28%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 6
HEI
18%
19%
64%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |