Nordmark Satrup vs SpVg Eidertal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
20.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
11º
5º
27
6º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordmark Satrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FLE
0 - 2
NOR
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 3
ECK
34%
22%
44%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
3 - 3
NOR
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 5
TOD
15%
20%
65%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 2
NOR
33%
21%
46%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
SpVg Eidertal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SVE
3 - 3
TRT
32%
22%
46%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
5 - 0
SVE
81%
11%
8%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SVE
4 - 3
LUB
23%
19%
59%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SVE
4 - 1
FRI
44%
21%
35%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
SVE
3 - 1
FRB
59%
19%
22%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |