Nordmark Satrup vs Dornbreite Lübeck analysis

Nordmark Satrup Dornbreite Lübeck
28 ELO 19
0.1% Tilt 0.6%
7318º General ELO ranking 12262º
372º Country ELO ranking 580º
ELO win probability
68.2%
Nordmark Satrup
16.5%
Draw
15.3%
Dornbreite Lübeck

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
Nordmark Satrup
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.5%
15.3%
Win probability
Dornbreite Lübeck
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nordmark Satrup
+23%
-47%
Dornbreite Lübeck

Points and table prediction

Nordmark Satrup
Their league position
Dornbreite Lübeck
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
11º
13
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kilia Kiel
74
74
100%
Heider SV
68
68
100%
Union Neumünster
62
62
100%
SV Eichede
59
59
100%
Nordmark Satrup
41
41
0%
SV Preußen Reinfeld
41
41
0%
Hohenwestedt
40
40
100%
Oldenburger SV
38
38
100%
Eutin 08
37
37
100%
Rotenhof
10º
35
35
10º
100%
VfR Neumunster
11º
35
35
11º
100%
VfB Lübeck II
12º
33
33
12º
100%
Eckernförder SV
13º
32
32
13º
100%
TSB Flensburg
14º
31
31
14º
100%
SpVg Eidertal
15º
27
27
15º
100%
Dornbreite Lübeck
16º
13
13
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Nordmark Satrup
Dornbreite Lübeck
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Nordmark Satrup
Dornbreite Lübeck
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nordmark Satrup
Nordmark Satrup
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2024
EUT
Eutin 08
1 - 0
Nordmark Satrup
NOR
43%
21%
36%
29 27 2 0
03 Oct. 2024
NOR
Nordmark Satrup
2 - 3
Kilia Kiel
KIL
23%
19%
58%
30 42 12 -1
28 Sep. 2024
NOR
Nordmark Satrup
2 - 0
Hohenwestedt
HOH
46%
21%
33%
29 29 0 +1
20 Sep. 2024
TRT
Rotenhof
3 - 2
Nordmark Satrup
NOR
44%
21%
35%
30 28 2 -1
14 Sep. 2024
NOR
Nordmark Satrup
0 - 2
Union Neumünster
UNI
21%
19%
60%
31 44 13 -1

Matches

Dornbreite Lübeck
Dornbreite Lübeck
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2024
DOR
Dornbreite Lübeck
2 - 5
Rotenhof
TRT
29%
21%
50%
20 29 9 0
03 Oct. 2024
UNI
Union Neumünster
5 - 0
Dornbreite Lübeck
DOR
88%
8%
4%
20 44 24 0
28 Sep. 2024
LUB
VfB Lübeck II
2 - 1
Dornbreite Lübeck
DOR
67%
17%
16%
21 26 5 -1
21 Sep. 2024
HEI
Heider SV
4 - 0
Dornbreite Lübeck
DOR
87%
9%
4%
21 42 21 0
14 Sep. 2024
DOR
Dornbreite Lübeck
3 - 2
Oldenburger SV
OLD
15%
16%
69%
19 30 11 +2