Nordmark Satrup vs Dornbreite Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.5%
15.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
11º
5º
13
3º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nordmark Satrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
EUT
1 - 0
NOR
43%
21%
36%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 3
KIL
23%
19%
58%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 0
HOH
46%
21%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
TRT
3 - 2
NOR
44%
21%
35%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 2
UNI
21%
19%
60%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Dornbreite Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
DOR
2 - 5
TRT
29%
21%
50%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
5 - 0
DOR
88%
8%
4%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LUB
2 - 1
DOR
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HEI
4 - 0
DOR
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DOR
3 - 2
OLD
15%
16%
69%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +2 |