TSV Nördlingen vs VfR Garching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
3º
18º
6º
22
8º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Nördlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
SON
2 - 1
TSV
33%
23%
44%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TSV
1 - 0
KIR
67%
18%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
ERL
0 - 1
TSV
37%
24%
40%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TSV
3 - 1
RAI
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
TSA
1 - 0
TSV
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
VRG
3 - 2
TUR
60%
21%
20%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LAN
6 - 0
VRG
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VRG
2 - 1
DAC
23%
21%
56%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCG
2 - 2
VRG
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
VRG
0 - 1
FCP
18%
20%
63%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |