Meerbusch vs SF Baumberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
49.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
10º
17º
10º
35
11º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
60 | 60 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Meerbusch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
NET
2 - 1
MEE
35%
24%
41%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MEE
5 - 0
HSG
75%
15%
11%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
MEE
2 - 1
HIL
30%
23%
47%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MEE
0 - 1
KLE
64%
19%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TDV
2 - 2
MEE
36%
24%
39%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SFB
1 - 4
HIL
54%
22%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SPF
2 - 3
SFB
23%
21%
56%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SFB
2 - 3
KON
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SFB
3 - 1
VFB
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
NET
2 - 1
SFB
17%
20%
63%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -2 |