Meerbusch vs SF Baumberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
63%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
18º
16º
70
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
61.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Meerbusch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
MSV
2 - 2
MEE
20%
21%
59%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
NET
1 - 0
MEE
49%
22%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
HIL
3 - 1
MEE
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MEE
1 - 3
STR
40%
21%
39%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
KLE
1 - 4
MEE
44%
22%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BER
5 - 3
SFB
25%
22%
53%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
SFB
1 - 3
SPF
65%
19%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BSC
3 - 1
SFB
25%
22%
53%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 0
SFB
29%
22%
49%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SON
0 - 4
SFB
28%
23%
48%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |