Meerbusch vs Hamborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
31.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
18º
16º
29
2º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
61.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Meerbusch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KFC
4 - 3
MEE
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MEE
2 - 0
VFB
35%
22%
43%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +4 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCB
1 - 1
MEE
17%
18%
65%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MEE
0 - 3
SCH
38%
21%
41%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 1
MEE
69%
19%
13%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Hamborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 3
SON
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
NET
1 - 3
HAM
47%
22%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 1
HIL
11%
17%
72%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
STR
5 - 0
HAM
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 1
KLE
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |