TSV Essingen vs VfR Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+148%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
7º
14º
8º
43
7º
18º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Essingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
PFO
2 - 2
TSV
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 2
OBE
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
FSV
3 - 1
TSV
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 0
ATS
44%
21%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
GOP
4 - 1
TSV
64%
21%
16%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
VFR
4 - 0
OFF
69%
18%
14%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
RAV
2 - 1
VFR
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
VFR
0 - 3
FCH
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 0
VFR
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 1
NOT
19%
20%
61%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +2 |