Tsukuba University vs RB Omiya Ardija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.9%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
87.3%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
13%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.6%
0-4
10.2%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
14.2%
0-5
6.4%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
8.5%
0-6
3.4%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.3%
0-7
1.5%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.9%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tsukuba University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
TUN
2 - 1
AVI
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
VEG
2 - 3
TUN
68%
19%
14%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
YSC
1 - 2
TUN
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CON
3 - 0
TUN
86%
11%
4%
|
41 | 69 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
KAR
4 - 2
TUN
92%
7%
2%
|
42 | 81 | 39 | -1 |
Matches
RB Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
OMI
2 - 2
GAM
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
KAA
1 - 0
OMI
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
OMI
1 - 1
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SAG
3 - 0
OMI
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
OMI
1 - 0
ALB
81%
14%
5%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | +1 |