Spartaki Tskhinvali vs Mertskhali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartaki Tskhinvali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
TSK
5 - 1
ACH
79%
14%
8%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
LOK
1 - 3
TSK
34%
28%
37%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
TSK
3 - 0
SHU
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 2
TSK
39%
28%
32%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
ACH
2 - 1
TSK
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Mertskhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
SHU
2 - 0
MER
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
MER
5 - 0
ACH
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 0
MER
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
MER
1 - 1
ALG
63%
21%
17%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
MER
0 - 3
SHU
28%
23%
49%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |