TSG Backnang vs VfR Mannheim analysis

TSG Backnang VfR Mannheim
29 ELO 34
7.3% Tilt -4.3%
5381º General ELO ranking 4377º
265º Country ELO ranking 199º
ELO win probability
43.5%
TSG Backnang
22%
Draw
34.5%
VfR Mannheim

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
TSG Backnang
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
34.5%
Win probability
VfR Mannheim
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
TSG Backnang
+90%
+33%
VfR Mannheim

Points and table prediction

TSG Backnang
Their league position
VfR Mannheim
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
15º
11º
43
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC 08 Villingen
72
72
100%
Göppinger SV
69
69
100%
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
68
68
100%
CfR Pforzheim
64
64
100%
Nottingen
57
60
100%
FSV Hollenbach
49
49
63%
Normannia Gmünd
48
48
63%
TSV Essingen
46
46
100%
VfR Mannheim
43
43
59%
Oberachern
10º
42
42
10º
59%
TSG Backnang
11º
42
42
11º
100%
Ravensburg
13º
40
41
12º
22%
ATSV Mutschelbach
12º
41
41
13º
63%
Bissingen
15º
36
37
14º
37%
Reutlingen
14º
37
37
15º
37%
FC Holzhausen
16º
36
36
16º
59%
Denzlingen
17º
36
36
17º
59%
Offenburger FV
18º
14
14
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
TSG Backnang
VfR Mannheim
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

TSG Backnang
VfR Mannheim
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

TSG Backnang
TSG Backnang
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2023
OBE
Oberachern
2 - 0
TSG Backnang
TSB
48%
22%
30%
31 30 1 0
04 Nov. 2023
TSB
TSG Backnang
4 - 3
FSV Hollenbach
FSV
42%
22%
37%
30 35 5 +1
28 Oct. 2023
ATS
ATSV Mutschelbach
1 - 3
TSG Backnang
TSB
67%
17%
16%
29 35 6 +1
21 Oct. 2023
TSB
TSG Backnang
0 - 2
Göppinger SV
GOP
29%
23%
48%
31 41 10 -2
14 Oct. 2023
REU
Reutlingen
0 - 1
TSG Backnang
TSB
36%
23%
41%
30 25 5 +1

Matches

VfR Mannheim
VfR Mannheim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2023
VFR
VfR Mannheim
1 - 2
FC 08 Villingen
VIL
38%
23%
39%
34 36 2 0
10 Nov. 2023
VFR
VfR Mannheim
2 - 1
TSV Essingen
TSV
69%
17%
14%
33 23 10 +1
04 Nov. 2023
OFF
Offenburger FV
1 - 2
VfR Mannheim
VFR
21%
20%
58%
31 22 9 +2
28 Oct. 2023
VFR
VfR Mannheim
2 - 1
Ravensburg
RAV
50%
22%
28%
31 29 2 0
21 Oct. 2023
FCH
FC Holzhausen
0 - 2
VfR Mannheim
VFR
36%
21%
43%
31 27 4 0