TSG Backnang vs FC 08 Villingen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
30.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
-83%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
7º
16º
8º
12
5º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
95 | 95 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
90% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 21 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSG Backnang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
0 - 0
TSB
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
TSB
0 - 5
SVS
7%
14%
79%
|
32 | 62 | 30 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
TSB
0 - 0
STU
9%
16%
75%
|
32 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
TSB
0 - 0
OBE
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FSV
2 - 1
TSB
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC 08 Villingen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 1
TSV
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
SKW
3 - 5
FCV
12%
17%
71%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FCV
5 - 0
STA
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SVK
2 - 0
FCV
18%
19%
63%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -3 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCV
0 - 2
FCA
56%
21%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |