TSG Backnang vs ATSV Mutschelbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
7º
15º
11º
41
6º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 63% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 37% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSG Backnang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2024 |
GOP
3 - 1
TSB
74%
17%
10%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TSB
1 - 1
REU
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TSB
0 - 0
VIL
22%
21%
57%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TSV
5 - 1
TSB
48%
22%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
TSB
6 - 2
OFF
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
ATSV Mutschelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2024 |
ATS
1 - 4
VIL
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 0
ATS
44%
21%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ATS
5 - 0
OFF
78%
13%
10%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RAV
2 - 2
ATS
48%
21%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ATS
1 - 4
FCH
65%
17%
18%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |