Hoffenheim vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
HEI
0 - 0
HOF
38%
23%
39%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 0
HOF
42%
23%
35%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HOF
3 - 1
BOC
63%
20%
18%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
STU
1 - 1
HOF
62%
20%
18%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
HOF
2 - 0
DYN
61%
20%
19%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
FCN
8 - 3
SSV
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SGF
0 - 4
FCN
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
FCN
2 - 1
ING
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FCN
3 - 2
PRE
37%
25%
39%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HAN
2 - 0
FCN
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |