Hoffenheim vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
55.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
HOF
1 - 3
WOL
41%
25%
33%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
F95
1 - 1
HOF
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
HOF
3 - 2
S04
19%
23%
58%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
M05
3 - 0
HOF
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
HOF
3 - 3
SGF
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
MET
2 - 0
LEV
32%
24%
44%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LEV
2 - 0
S04
42%
25%
34%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
WOL
3 - 1
LEV
26%
23%
51%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
LEV
3 - 0
RAP
69%
19%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LEV
3 - 2
F95
72%
18%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |