Hartberg II vs Union Gamlitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
8º
5º
40
1º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
98.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
57.5% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
60% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
82% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
90% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
FEH
0 - 0
TSH
44%
22%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
TSH
1 - 0
LEB
53%
20%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
KOF
2 - 0
TSH
45%
21%
34%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
LAF
1 - 4
TSH
43%
21%
37%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
TSH
2 - 1
KIN
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Union Gamlitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
LAF
0 - 3
UGA
32%
21%
47%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
KIN
1 - 4
UGA
10%
14%
76%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
UGA
5 - 0
FCS
71%
16%
14%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ALL
3 - 2
UGA
54%
20%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
UGA
0 - 0
ILZ
38%
23%
39%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |