Hartberg II vs Union Gamlitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
65.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
10º
4º
44
1º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
TSH
0 - 2
FUR
23%
20%
57%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SVF
1 - 2
TSH
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TSH
0 - 3
29%
22%
49%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
LEB
3 - 2
TSH
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TSH
2 - 0
SUT
52%
20%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Union Gamlitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
UGA
1 - 2
SVF
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
0 - 3
UGA
35%
22%
43%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
UGA
3 - 2
LEB
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SUT
2 - 0
UGA
14%
17%
69%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
UGA
5 - 1
KAL
40%
23%
36%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |