Hartberg II vs TUS Heiligenkreuz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
75.4%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
10º
4º
43
4º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
GNA
2 - 1
TSH
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TSH
3 - 0
SVW
8%
13%
78%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | +4 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
ILZ
3 - 2
TSH
88%
9%
4%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
TSH
4 - 3
LAF
6%
12%
82%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | +3 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
TSH
1 - 3
KOF
23%
22%
54%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -7 |
Matches
TUS Heiligenkreuz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
HGK
4 - 1
SVF
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
3 - 2
HGK
31%
22%
48%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HGK
6 - 2
LEB
50%
22%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
SUT
3 - 1
HGK
8%
13%
79%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | -3 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
HGK
6 - 1
STR
4%
11%
85%
|
32 | 82 | 50 | +2 |