Hartberg II vs Frauental analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
10º
4º
26
14º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
3 - 3
TSH
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
TSH
2 - 0
LEB
42%
21%
37%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
SVT
2 - 2
TSH
36%
22%
42%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TSH
1 - 3
KAL
41%
21%
38%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 5
TSH
35%
22%
43%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Frauental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
FUR
4 - 5
SVF
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
SVF
1 - 2
24%
23%
54%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
LEB
4 - 0
SVF
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
SVF
1 - 4
SVT
36%
22%
42%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
KAL
4 - 0
SVF
77%
14%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |