Hartberg II vs Lebring analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
37.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
10º
4º
39
1º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
SVT
2 - 2
TSH
36%
22%
42%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TSH
1 - 3
KAL
41%
21%
38%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 5
TSH
35%
22%
43%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
TSH
6 - 0
SCB
49%
20%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
HGK
3 - 3
TSH
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lebring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
LEB
4 - 0
SVF
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
4 - 1
LEB
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
FUR
1 - 3
LEB
56%
20%
25%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LEB
1 - 0
SVT
72%
15%
13%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 1
LEB
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |