Hartberg II vs Frohnleiten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.5%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
8º
5º
6
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
98.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
57.5% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
60% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
82% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
90% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
6 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
TUS
3 - 0
TSH
26%
21%
53%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
TSH
5 - 1
HGK
59%
19%
22%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
UGA
1 - 5
TSH
56%
20%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
TSH
0 - 3
FEH
54%
20%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
LEB
3 - 1
TSH
50%
20%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Frohnleiten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
FRO
1 - 4
LAF
6%
12%
82%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
KIN
5 - 1
FRO
82%
11%
7%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
FRO
1 - 2
FCS
12%
17%
71%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
ALL
5 - 1
FRO
90%
7%
3%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FRO
0 - 1
ILZ
8%
16%
76%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | -1 |