TS Polonia Bytom vs Wieczysta Kraków analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
3º
15º
4º
1
5º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
17º
|
0 | 67 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 59 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
0 | 54 |
3º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 53 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 53 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
0 | 51 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 51 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 50 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
1 | 46 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
1 | 45 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 44 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 44 |
12º
|
1.5% | |
|
5º
|
0 | 44 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 42 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 39 |
15º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 36 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
0 | 33 |
17º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 33 |
18º
|
20% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
15% | 5.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
35% | 22% |
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 42% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 18% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TS Polonia Bytom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
ZBR
3 - 0
TSP
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
TSP
1 - 1
SWR
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
TSP
3 - 4
ZEM
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
GKS
2 - 1
TSP
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
RUZ
0 - 0
TSP
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Wieczysta Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
SLA
1 - 1
WIE
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
WIE
3 - 0
SAN
66%
19%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
PUS
0 - 5
WIE
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
WIE
1 - 2
ZBR
56%
20%
24%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
WIE
2 - 0
CHO
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |