TS Galaxy vs Cape Town City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
15º
5º
27
5º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
68% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 35 |
10º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 30 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 30 |
16º
|
24% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 36% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 40% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 24% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TS Galaxy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
TSG
7 - 0
CVG
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 9 | 61 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
GOL
1 - 1
TSG
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
TSG
0 - 0
MAG
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
RKF
1 - 3
TSG
36%
29%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2024 |
TSG
1 - 1
CHI
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cape Town City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
SUF
2 - 0
MPU
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
MPU
2 - 1
RIB
60%
25%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MIL
1 - 0
MPU
26%
28%
46%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
MPU
1 - 0
PIR
36%
28%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MPU
1 - 0
CHI
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |