Tryum vs Pigotts Bullets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
24.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
13º
11º
26
9º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 31 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 28 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 27 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
61% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
93% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 6 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 4 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tryum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
TRY
2 - 4
WIL
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 2
TRY
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
FIV
1 - 2
TRY
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ALL
3 - 4
TRY
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 2
TRY
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pigotts Bullets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
ORO
1 - 1
PBU
66%
19%
16%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
PBU
0 - 0
LIB
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
PBU
1 - 1
EGF
31%
25%
44%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PBU
0 - 1
VLI
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PBU
1 - 1
OTT
36%
23%
41%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |