Tryum vs Blue Jays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.8%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
3.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
13º
11º
10
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 31 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 28 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 27 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
61% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
93% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 6 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 4 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tryum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
TRY
0 - 1
WIL
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
TRY
0 - 3
SAP
45%
21%
34%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ORO
0 - 2
TRY
56%
20%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
HOP
0 - 1
TRY
57%
20%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TRY
1 - 4
GRE
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Blue Jays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
ORO
3 - 1
BLU
92%
6%
2%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
HOP
1 - 0
BLU
91%
6%
2%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
FIV
1 - 4
BLU
89%
8%
3%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
SWE
1 - 1
BLU
91%
7%
2%
|
10 | 31 | 21 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SAP
1 - 2
BLU
94%
5%
1%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | +1 |