Tryavna vs Pavlikeni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tryavna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ABS
1 - 3
TRY
27%
25%
48%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ASV
1 - 0
TRY
45%
26%
29%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
TRY
1 - 1
BOD
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
OFK
1 - 0
TRY
31%
25%
44%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
TRY
1 - 0
SIT
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pavlikeni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PAV
0 - 1
LOD
16%
22%
62%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
ABS
4 - 0
PAV
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TOB
4 - 0
PAV
71%
17%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ASV
6 - 0
PAV
66%
21%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
PAV
1 - 2
BOD
32%
25%
44%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |