Tryavna vs Lokomotiv Mezdra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
62.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tryavna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
LOD
0 - 0
TRY
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TRY
1 - 1
DUS
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
TOB
6 - 0
TRY
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TRY
0 - 0
LOK
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
GIG
0 - 0
TRY
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Mezdra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
LOK
3 - 2
PAR
81%
13%
6%
|
61 | 26 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
OFK
1 - 2
LOK
11%
19%
70%
|
60 | 15 | 45 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LOK
1 - 0
BOT
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ASV
1 - 4
LOK
14%
24%
63%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
LOK
7 - 2
SIT
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 29 | 31 | 0 |