Tryavna vs Gigant Belene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tryavna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SPA
4 - 1
TRY
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TRY
3 - 0
BOT
30%
25%
45%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BAB
2 - 0
TRY
26%
24%
50%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TRY
0 - 3
YAN
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
TRY
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Gigant Belene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
GIG
1 - 0
PAR
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
OFK
0 - 2
GIG
8%
17%
75%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GIG
4 - 0
BOT
19%
23%
58%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +6 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
GIG
1 - 1
ASV
29%
24%
48%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SIT
0 - 0
GIG
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |