Truro City vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
HAL
3 - 2
WHI
55%
21%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
WHI
3 - 1
HEM
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
WHI
2 - 2
LEA
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
4 - 3
WHI
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
WHI
1 - 1
BAN
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 0
HEM
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 2
BED
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CAM
2 - 2
BAS
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
BAS
2 - 1
NUN
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
BAS
2 - 0
WHI
45%
23%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |