Trujillo vs Sagrada Cena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
GIM
2 - 4
TRU
56%
23%
21%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
TRU
1 - 6
MOR
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 0
TRU
36%
24%
39%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
AMA
1 - 2
TRU
53%
24%
23%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
TRU
1 - 1
ZUR
68%
19%
14%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sagrada Cena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
SAG
3 - 1
ARR
28%
23%
50%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
HER
1 - 2
SAG
49%
24%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SAG
1 - 3
COR
19%
20%
61%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
CIU
1 - 1
SAG
29%
24%
47%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SAG
2 - 0
AMA
29%
25%
47%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +2 |