Trujillo vs Orellana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
CAS
2 - 1
TRU
54%
22%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
TRU
0 - 3
TAL
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
MAL
2 - 1
TRU
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
VIL
3 - 1
TRU
76%
16%
8%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +9 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
TRU
5 - 2
MAL
20%
23%
57%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ORE
2 - 2
ZUR
71%
18%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
CAC
2 - 1
ORE
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ORE
1 - 4
MON
42%
25%
34%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
MCB
2 - 0
ORE
86%
11%
3%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | +6 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
ORE
0 - 2
MON
14%
24%
62%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |