Trujillo vs Montehermoso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
GIM
4 - 2
TRU
40%
23%
38%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
TRU
1 - 2
ACD
72%
17%
12%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
MAL
1 - 0
TRU
46%
24%
30%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
OLY
1 - 2
TRU
33%
23%
43%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
TRU
5 - 1
CAM
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
CNV
61%
21%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
MON
18%
22%
60%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
VAL
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
GIM
1 - 2
MON
41%
24%
35%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
MON
1 - 1
ACD
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |