Trujillo vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
57.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MOR
4 - 1
TRU
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
TRU
2 - 0
CAS
63%
21%
16%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
TRU
2 - 0
CPA
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CPA
1 - 3
TRU
32%
24%
44%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
TRU
2 - 0
GUA
64%
20%
16%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
JER
3 - 0
CDD
78%
16%
7%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SAM
1 - 1
JER
17%
24%
59%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
LOR
4 - 0
JER
54%
24%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
JER
1 - 1
LOR
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
JER
0 - 0
CER
46%
26%
29%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |