Troyes vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
ORL
0 - 1
TRO
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
TRO
2 - 0
RED
70%
20%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
LOR
0 - 3
TRO
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
TRO
1 - 0
GAZ
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 1
TRO
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
ASN
1 - 0
AJA
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
ASN
1 - 0
ORL
33%
27%
41%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
RED
1 - 1
ASN
38%
28%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
ASN
2 - 3
BRE
23%
26%
50%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
CLE
2 - 3
ASN
56%
25%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |