Troyes vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
TRO
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
TRO
0 - 1
ASS
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
LEN
4 - 0
TRO
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
TRO
2 - 2
REN
25%
25%
50%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
REI
1 - 2
TRO
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
LOR
0 - 2
REN
22%
24%
54%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ANG
1 - 0
LOR
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
LOR
1 - 2
BRE
42%
26%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
STR
4 - 0
LOR
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
LOR
1 - 1
GIR
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |