Troyes vs Avignon AS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
19.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
BAS
3 - 1
TRO
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1975 |
TRO
3 - 1
MON
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1975 |
SOC
2 - 2
TRO
59%
24%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1975 |
TRO
1 - 1
STR
55%
24%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1975 |
NAN
2 - 2
TRO
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Avignon AS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1975 |
ASA
1 - 0
LIL
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1975 |
GIR
2 - 1
ASA
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1975 |
ASA
2 - 3
ASN
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1975 |
PSG
6 - 2
ASA
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1975 |
ASA
1 - 5
NIC
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |