Troyes U19 vs Paris FC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
14º
4º
38
4º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
6º
|
51% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
75% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
75% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
75% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MET
1 - 3
TRO
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
TRO
3 - 0
STR
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TRO
4 - 2
SOC
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BBP
1 - 1
TRO
20%
21%
60%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TRO
0 - 1
CLE
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Paris FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 1
DIJ
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 0
MON
75%
15%
11%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MET
1 - 1
PAR
43%
23%
35%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 2
STR
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PAG
1 - 3
PAR
16%
19%
65%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |