Troyes U19 vs Montferrand U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.6%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+81%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
14º
4º
18
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
6º
|
51% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
75% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
75% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
75% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
LEN
4 - 3
TRO
49%
23%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
BOB
2 - 2
TRO
44%
22%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
TRO
4 - 0
CLE
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
AUX
0 - 1
TRO
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MET
2 - 3
TRO
48%
23%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Montferrand U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
NIM
2 - 0
MON
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
ETI
9%
15%
76%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
MON
95%
4%
1%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
COL
27%
22%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MON
4 - 0
MON
91%
7%
2%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | -1 |