Troyes U19 vs Auxerre U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
13º
2º
41
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
83% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 36 |
8º
|
64.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
46.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 30 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MUL
1 - 1
TRO
18%
20%
62%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 0
DIJ
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
TRO
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TRO
3 - 1
AND
74%
15%
11%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
REI
0 - 0
TRO
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
AUX
2 - 3
CLE
69%
18%
14%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MET
0 - 0
AUX
31%
26%
42%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
AUX
2 - 0
STR
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BOB
1 - 2
AUX
30%
23%
47%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AUX
1 - 0
BES
82%
12%
6%
|
43 | 12 | 31 | 0 |