Troyes II vs Sarre-Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
8º
3º
43
2º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
RCE
1 - 1
TRO
19%
22%
59%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
JAR
0 - 4
TRO
14%
18%
67%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MEZ
2 - 0
TRO
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 1
STR
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
REI
1 - 2
TRO
41%
23%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
THA
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 0
RCE
74%
17%
10%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
JAR
3 - 3
SAR
8%
13%
79%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 0
MEZ
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
STR
4 - 1
SAR
30%
25%
46%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |